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In my own experience this is where data is helpful once you have a platform that doesn't change every event.
My car is basically a Spec Boxster without a cage and hard top. I had hit a wall at ~2:17/18 on Outer. Careful review of my outings showed a few track sectors where I was lifting when I shouldn't, a corners Vmin was not consistent and much higher on some laps, etc. I applied knowledge of that to my next events.
Now my personal best on Outer is 2:12.8 on A7s and I've run lots 2:14s and 15s on RRs. I ran a 2:16 and change on NT01s last Saturday with the 30-60mph gusts that day. (It was not optimal for setting fast times)
Don't be demoralized. You are right on target.
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