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986 Forum - The Community for Porsche Boxster & Cayman Owners (http://986forum.com/forums/)
-   Off Topic Discussions (http://986forum.com/forums/off-topic-discussions/)
-   -   virus prediction (http://986forum.com/forums/off-topic-discussions/78432-virus-prediction.html)

flmont 08-10-2020 06:34 PM
Sorry That's not a Rump statement that was a Fauci statement in the beginning or someone who thought they knew what they were talking about .:barf:

piper6909 08-10-2020 06:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by flmont (Post 622323)
Sorry That's not a Rump statement that was a Fauci statement in the beginning or someone who thought they knew what they were talking about .:barf:
Try again, pal. Facts are a biotch, and so is video proof! :D:D:D

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=svrxYLvJYto

Well, at least you got the "someone who thought they knew what they were talking about" part right! :D:D:D:D

And here are other videos for your enjoyment!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qv9sH5ptgRA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yYnXBRo9TVA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wvvD2EPOqaY

maytag 08-10-2020 07:08 PM
Piper6909 = post-bully.


;-)

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

flmont 08-10-2020 07:13 PM
Well ok ,..he repeated it,.

flmont 08-10-2020 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piper6909 (Post 622318)
What a joke!
Still waiting for what was so funny :confused:

piper6909 08-10-2020 07:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by maytag (Post 622327)
Piper6909 = post-bully.


;-)

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk
haha! Facts are my weapons of choice! Locked and loaded, baby! I have a full arsenal!
:cheers:

piper6909 08-10-2020 07:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by flmont (Post 622328)
Well ok ,..he repeated it,.
Nope, nobody else said it. Especially not Fauci. Rump was the only one who said it, unless someone was repeating Rump.

piper6909 08-10-2020 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by flmont (Post 622329)
Still waiting for what was so funny :confused:
Nevermind, I'm trying to follow 78F350's suggestion to be kind. :D

flmont 08-10-2020 09:36 PM
Oh pls ..i can take it..

Starter986 08-11-2020 03:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by flmont (Post 622314)
,..I will agree this Virus is unique, But you cant wear a mask forever to protect yourself from the winds of a virus mask may slow it down but it wont stop it,Heat was suppose to kill it,I live in Tucson, Az way past 100 Deg's A day for weeks and the numbers went up,I don't trust the numbers, or the way all this Virus protection has been conducted, I.E. Symptoms : headache,muscle soreness, coughing, temperature, fatigue, stiffness, I get all of that with the common Flu, I just don't trust the Government to tell me what's best when they don't even know,its that simple for me,The Obama/Biden ticket,sure didn't create a very quick recovery from the housing bubble crash,I think they or Obama seen that as a way to Fundamentally change America as he so elegantly stated ( the way he wants it's).Once he benefitted from America's success ,.Law school,then to government,.He didn't want the same for ALL American's or he would have done what Trump has done,..open up the economy and cut taxes, and the regulations that only hurt America,..Trump is no secret Genius,.any politician that wants a successful country would do exactly what he did,.Iam sure Bernie and Cortez will be wonderful for PA,.If you can drive your car on seaweed..or Sunlight have fun
Well said. You're on the list (I'll get to that someday). ;)

:cheers:

Starter986 08-11-2020 03:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by flmont (Post 622316)
George Floyd,..this is most certainly a shameful thing on those police officer's( no matter who's neck it was),That justice should be between Mr.Floyd's family and that Police department, period..It's not just cause to ruin other's livelihood, and property, It just goes to show how people are being raised and educated to hate everything in this country because they weren't handed success or taught respect for other's,.. it's said, You get out of life what you put into it ,Protesting is a way to be heard,.to change thing's, you actually need to make an effort in the proper direction,..8 yrs of Obama/Biden why wasn't there change, they complain the most !! and do nothing because they like to create chaos, How's that for another Political statement !

Soap box now folded up and put away ! ( My apologies to anyone I may have offended )
Offended anyone? Oh, you mean Pipe! "That" anyone? Screw him. ;)

2ata 08-11-2020 06:52 AM
The data on this whole topic is still so spread between some true and some false that it's almost impossible to accurately decipher.

Example; our facility closed several units in preparation for a surge in COVID cases that never happened. The units remained empty for months. Hospitalizations for our system never broke 100 with ICU cases in the mid 20's. Those closings resulted in the loss of 800 employees.

Detroit; the hospitals in downtown Detroit saw a significant influx of cases. Poorer population and a higher than average co morbidity rate played a role in that. Field hospitals were established at both COBO and Showplace in Novi. Each site was built to house 1000 cases per. At peak there were 2 cases transferred to COBO. Hospitals outside of downtown were virtual ghost towns with decreases in patient volumes.

As it sits now, testing has steadily increased thus resulting in more positive results being returned. "Cast a wider net, catch more fish." The real data that matters is not in the positive tests, it is in the hospitalization rates. For the most part overall hospitalizations are down, however, there are some locations now seeing an increase.

If we were to approach flu testing in the same manner that we are testing for COVID I believe that the positive result numbers would be very similar.

One comment on hospital morgues. It is easy to paint a grim picture using volume overwhelming the hospital morgue. In general these locations are small and not intended for volume. (I think we can hold 8 and we are a larger facility.) If you have any number of ICU cases that are critical related to COVID and then you add in the normal deaths in a hospital or incoming traumas. It's easy to run out of space.

After Katrina the DMORT team set up in Baton Rouge had 30 refrigerated semis on site for the same purpose.

piper6909 08-11-2020 08:05 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2ata (Post 622357)
The data on this whole topic is still so spread between some true and some false that it's almost impossible to accurately decipher.

Example; our facility closed several units in preparation for a surge in COVID cases that never happened. The units remained empty for months. Hospitalizations for our system never broke 100 with ICU cases in the mid 20's. Those closings resulted in the loss of 800 employees.

Detroit; the hospitals in downtown Detroit saw a significant influx of cases. Poorer population and a higher than average co morbidity rate played a role in that. Field hospitals were established at both COBO and Showplace in Novi. Each site was built to house 1000 cases per. At peak there were 2 cases transferred to COBO. Hospitals outside of downtown were virtual ghost towns with decreases in patient volumes.

As it sits now, testing has steadily increased thus resulting in more positive results being returned. "Cast a wider net, catch more fish." The real data that matters is not in the positive tests, it is in the hospitalization rates. For the most part overall hospitalizations are down, however, there are some locations now seeing an increase.

If we were to approach flu testing in the same manner that we are testing for COVID I believe that the positive result numbers would be very similar.

One comment on hospital morgues. It is easy to paint a grim picture using volume overwhelming the hospital morgue. In general these locations are small and not intended for volume. (I think we can hold 8 and we are a larger facility.) If you have any number of ICU cases that are critical related to COVID and then you add in the normal deaths in a hospital or incoming traumas. It's easy to run out of space.

After Katrina the DMORT team set up in Baton Rouge had 30 refrigerated semis on site for the same purpose.
It's nice to have some insight from someone who is in the trenches. Thank you.

The one thing I'd like to add to "Cast a wider net, catch more fish" is that the fish are still there, regardless what size net you cast. Casting the net does not create the fish.

dghii 08-11-2020 08:13 AM
I have one question...
What the hell happened to the Killer Hornets?

tommy583 08-11-2020 08:54 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by dghii (Post 622361)
I have one question...
What the hell happened to the Killer Hornets?
I heard they all caught the Covid 19 and died. I can't remember where I saw it....probably the internet. :D

Starter986 08-11-2020 08:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piper6909 (Post 622332)
Nevermind, I'm trying to follow 78F350's suggestion to be kind. :D
Oh, you are kind. Kind of a... :D

lol

piper6909 08-11-2020 09:08 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Starter986 (Post 622365)
Oh, you are kind. Kind of a... :D

lol
I may be kind of a ...., but you're totally a ....! :D:D:D

Your turn. ;) :cheers:

Starter986 08-11-2020 09:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piper6909 (Post 622368)
I may be kind of a ...., but you're totally a ....! :D:D:D

Your turn. ;) :cheers:
I've got nothing... but I accept the compliment. ;)

Have a good day! :D

DoninDel 08-11-2020 09:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 2ata (Post 622357)
The data on this whole topic is still so spread between some true and some false that it's almost impossible to accurately decipher.
Is it? Don't you agree that NY and adjacent states, led by Cuomo (who I had NOT been a fan of) showed what worked and ought to have been done nationally and Georgia and Florida in particular show bad management???
Compare the curves of Europe to that of the US and it is clear we're not doing well.

As to testing showing more cases - that logic would say we should stop doing mammograms to lessen breast cancer.

In covid deaths, "We're No 1" is not where we should be.

piper6909 08-11-2020 10:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Starter986 (Post 622369)
I've got nothing... but I accept the compliment. ;)

Have a good day! :D
That's exactly how I took it and how I meant it! ;)


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