Quote:
Originally Posted by Fyeganeh
Here is an estimate of the survival rate of cars. So the oldest of these cars are about 18 years. Less than 10% survive to 30 years. So in 12 years the supply will be very limited as about 70-80% of the current first generation will go to the dust bin. |
Don't think a survival rate curve applies to Porches. Isn't it some inconceivably large percentage of all Porches ever made still being on road today?
Interesting debate though. Good points for both sides. Time will tell. First it was air cooled as being the craze, but now the turbocharging of newer Porsches and the Boxster going I4 could very well move things into the 986's favor. I agree with the point that mid engine is emerging as the ubiquitous supercar recipe and that should shine a light on the Boxster as well.
Unless one is buying a car to shelve though, as has been mentioned, the black hole of parts and repairs will be a formidable force in undermining the economics towards profit. Even if you were to beat the odds and do planned maintenance only that cost alone plus the diminishing impact from miles on the chassis will add up. And if you don't drive it frequently the ticking sound in your head gets louder... you know the IMS demon on your shoulder that reminds you of the time bomb in your garage that needs to be driven frequently but not frequently enough that you mile the car up and eat up your profit potential. Bit of a catch 22.
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