So 3 years later and a new generation of four cylinder turbo Boxsters out, has people's opinion changed on a 986 becoming collectible or a classic one day?
To me it was a classic on day one when I bought it in Dec 1999. I guess to prove its collectible the price will need to rise year over year from a nadir for at least two years. But we haven't seen that yet.
Some of the threads said that with so many produced it can't become collectible. From my estimates about 50% of the original production has already been scrapped. Year over year the numbers listed for resale on Autotrader for 1997-2000 are 20% down. That would translate to about a 10% scrap rate of the original production numbers year over year which sounds ridiculously high. That is until you take into account these cars are approaching being 20 years old, low price and expensive to maintain. Also when you look at historical expected attrition rates for cars of this age the 10% of original production or 20% of remaining cars is about right....
By about 25 years only 20% will remain and by 30 years only about 10-15%.
So in about 10 years when all cars will drive themselves, there should be about 1500 of the 2000 year 986 left. Then give another 10 more years and with inflation....
One day they will be classic and collectible!
|
Threaded Mode
