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-   -   BMW...All cars to be electric in a decade.. (http://986forum.com/forums/boxster-general-discussions/58554-bmw-all-cars-electric-decade.html)

Timco 08-30-2015 01:49 PM

BMW...All cars to be electric in a decade..
 
https://www.reddit.com/r/worldnews/comments/3iy4vc/bmw_all_models_electric_within_decade_intends_to/


(RTTNews.com) - German luxury car giant Bayerische Motoren Werke AG or BMW Group (BAMXY, BAMXF, BMW.L) is looking to go all-electric over the next 10 years due to the upcoming stricter carbon emission laws. Virtually every BMW model would be converted to electric drivetrains, including range-extending engines and plug-in hybrids.

And then there's this issue...

http://www.autoblog.com/2010/09/07/toronto-hydro-chief-electric-car-upswing-would-crash-grid/

Jamesp 08-30-2015 01:52 PM

They can be very fast...

thstone 08-30-2015 02:46 PM

Hah! Did anyone really think that the oil companies where going to sit back and let electric cars gain a foothold in THEIR market?

As long as oil/gas is cheap (or until there is at least a doubling of battery energy density at the same cost) there will be no massive adoption of electric powered cars.

dghii 08-30-2015 06:55 PM

I love my golf cart! I'd think it'd be great if we saw electric vehicles mature and become a primary source of transportation.

I've noticed one weird thing...check out the price of a used Nissan Leaf, like an 2011 or 2012. They are very cheap ~$12K and predicted to be 40-50% cheaper in the next year.

If I can get a Leaf to mess with for $7K next year I may consider it. Heck, a nice used golf cart is $3-4K, why not get a car for a few bucks more!

No, it will not replace my Boxster S (or Alfa Spider, or M Roadster).

Porsche9 08-30-2015 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dghii (Post 464031)
I love my golf cart! I'd think it'd be great if we saw electric vehicles mature and become a primary source of transportation.

I've noticed one weird thing...check out the price of a used Nissan Leaf, like an 2011 or 2012. They are very cheap ~$12K and predicted to be 40-50% cheaper in the next year.

If I can get a Leaf to mess with for $7K next year I may consider it. Heck, a nice used golf cart is $3-4K, why not get a car for a few bucks more!

No, it will not replace my Boxster S (or Alfa Spider, or M Roadster).

No kidding on the price of used Leafs. Mighty tempting. The turn off for many is the need for a 220v hookup at home. Problem here in Phoenix is that their range when its hot is goes way down.

Pdwight 08-30-2015 09:17 PM

No way
 
We are just not there yet, battery technology is way behind that curve...30 years maybe.....ten....no way in heck

lkchris 08-31-2015 12:53 PM

Not interested in the slightest in electric cars.

particlewave 08-31-2015 01:03 PM

If you guys were involved in the industry, you would be very interested and you would know that battery storage capacities are set to make a huge leap within the next 10 years. Huge...10-100x.
The only semi-valid argument from the pro-ICE crowd about the future of electric is the butt-hurt over loss of ICE sound. If they lived 115 years ago, they'd be the ones angry about those noisy horseless carriages. Advancement always moves forward, despite resistance from the "scared of change" crowd.

Electric power puts IC to shame on every front but storage capacity, and that table will tilt in the direction of electric soon. Think "super conductors" and "nano carbon". ;)
There will be transition periods when ICE and electric power will be facing one another and ICE is going to lose. Very soon... ;)

There is no debate, only logic. Mark my words.
That's it. I won't come back to this thread and argue with anyone as it's pointless. :)

Jamesp 08-31-2015 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by particlewave (Post 464128)

Electric power puts IC to shame on every front but storage capacity, and that table will tilt in the direction of electric soon. Think "super conductors" and "nano carbon". ;)
There will be transition periods when ICE and electric power will be facing one another and ICE is going to lose. Very soon... ;)

There is no debate, only logic. Mark my words.

Take a look at model airplanes. The fuel for those engines is alcohol based. It has a lower BTU per pound mass than gasoline or diesel. The "gas" model airplane engines have been replaced by electric motors thanks to better rare earth magnets and lithium polymer battery technology. The BTU per lb mass of the electric propulsion system is sufficient to make the electric motors and batteries an attractive replacement. The curve being climbed is the BTU per pound mass curve. When electric motors and batteries bypass fuel tanks and ICEs in this measure the tide will turn and any ICE will be consigned to the dustbin with steam engines.

Porsche9 08-31-2015 01:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by particlewave (Post 464128)
If you guys were involved in the industry, you would be very interested and you would know that battery storage capacities are set to make a huge leap within the next 10 years. Huge...10-100x.
The only semi-valid argument from the pro-ICE crowd about the future of electric is the butt-hurt over loss of ICE sound. If they lived 115 years ago, they'd be the ones angry about those noisy horseless carriages. Advancement always moves forward, despite resistance from the "scared of change" crowd.

Electric power puts IC to shame on every front but storage capacity, and that table will tilt in the direction of electric soon. Think "super conductors" and "nano carbon". ;)
There will be transition periods when ICE and electric power will be facing one another and ICE is going to lose. Very soon... ;)

There is no debate, only logic. Mark my words.

I don't like it but I know it's coming and sooner rather than later. I think the battery capacity issue will be resolved in the next 5 to 10 years but the infrasturcture to support electric cars will take longer. In the end it is an overall good thing especially if we can rid ourselves on the dependence of those that really don't like us. For me I will always like ICE over a electric motor just like I a steam locomotive over a diesel electriv locomotive. Both are dirty machines with many down sides but they are just a hellva lot more fun to play with.

Perfectlap 08-31-2015 02:25 PM

Obviously BMW are watching the Giga factories closely and are worried that Tesla will be eating their lunch (the educated wealthy) soon. If Tesla manage to reduce their per kilowatt hour cost substantially with mass production of their hardware the educated wealthy will be actively cross shopping every Tesla model with every BMW, Merc, Audi, Range Rover and Porsche. Once a well heeled buyer enjoys the red carpet Tesla treatment and experiences the "cool factor" of all the high tech bells and whistles of never having to deal with the gas station hassle, it will be hard for them to go back to the old way. BMW have no doubt done some internal studying of the educated wealthy and their greater interest in cutting edge technology.

Perfectlap 08-31-2015 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thstone (Post 464005)
Hah! Did anyone really think that the oil companies where going to sit back and let electric cars gain a foothold in THEIR market?

As long as oil/gas is cheap (or until there is at least a doubling of battery energy density at the same cost) there will be no massive adoption of electric powered cars.

I don't about that. The way I see it gas prices will have to remain below their historical average for an unusually long period of time to keep the car buying market as loyally comitted to ICEs as in the past. And as we know, there is no market, oil or any other commodity for that matter, that stays at the low end indefinitely without a proportional spike to the high end at some point in the medium term. I think at some point Tesla, GM and Japan will deliver the illusive EV that the middle income household can afford. They'll likely do so at a loss but if there is a dramatic increase in EV's at that price point it's a whole new ball game. And of course the autos will pull strings from Washington to keep the subsidies flowing. Point being EVs may never become profitable for the autos but they'll have no choice but to chase the market share or potentially lose out on a future demographic that insist on EVs. You know the millenialls aren't going to be broke forever and they're the first generation to grow up with mass market adoption of technology. If cost is no longer a barrier these recent generations of buyers will come to expect electric technology in their cars.

Ben006 08-31-2015 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by particlewave (Post 464128)
If you guys were involved in the industry, you would be very interested and you would know that battery storage capacities are set to make a huge leap within the next 10 years. Huge...10-100x.
The only semi-valid argument from the pro-ICE crowd about the future of electric is the butt-hurt over loss of ICE sound. If they lived 115 years ago, they'd be the ones angry about those noisy horseless carriages. Advancement always moves forward, despite resistance from the "scared of change" crowd.

Electric power puts IC to shame on every front but storage capacity, and that table will tilt in the direction of electric soon. Think "super conductors" and "nano carbon". ;)
There will be transition periods when ICE and electric power will be facing one another and ICE is going to lose. Very soon... ;)

There is no debate, only logic. Mark my words.
That's it. I won't come back to this thread and argue with anyone as it's pointless. :)

I won't argue ... because I'm 100% with you !
A lot of people I've talked to about electric cars have no idea of what they are talking about and as you said, 115 years ago, they would have been the angry ones against the petrol powered carriages...

Honnestly, as my boxster is a daily driver, I would really want it electric (with the same power).

My family owns the french equivalent of the nissan leaf (renault zoé, the exact same, but good looking), and despite some small defects, it's a real pleasure to drive !

So, I'm happy that I will see more electric cars in the near future !

Ben.

leftfield6 08-31-2015 05:11 PM

Currently I have the tremendous advantage pf being able to ride a commuter bus to work daily. And my company pays for it as a perk. The cost would be $180 month. I drive from my house 1.1 miles to the park-and-ride, and the bus stop in Midtown Atlanta is 2 blocks from my office.

BUT, I'm being recruited heavily by another company. Let's just say there are a number of reasons I would accept their offer. :) But what would suck would be the commute. No transit from where I live to where this company HQ is.

So, if I accept the job offer, I am almost assuredly getting a used Leaf. The prices are amazingly low for a very mileage used Leaf. Right now there is a 2013 Leaf SL with 14K miles at a dealer nearby for $12,900.

According to Google Maps, it is 22.6 miles one way to my potential new office. 46 miles round trip should be easily within the range of the Leaf. One of my neighbors has one a Leaf, and charges it up every night. He says his power bill went up about $25-30 a month.

Not as replacement for all of my vehicles, but I think it would be a perfect commuter vehicle. Plus I find the technology pretty cool. I'd be the guy trying to game it and push the mileage for all it's worth!

Atlanta does have a pretty good infrastructure already in place, and more being added everyday. As of Feb of this year, Atlanta was the number one metro area in the nation for Nissan Leaf sales.

Perfectlap 08-31-2015 05:58 PM

^$30 a month increase in electric bill to charge a car?
My electric bill nearly tripled this summer just to run my portable AC unit overnight! And I still had to pay for gas in my car. If I had a way of charging I'd be all over a leaf at those prices.

Porsche9 08-31-2015 08:34 PM

Don't forget the 220v charger.

How To Get the Best Home Charger for Your Plug-In Car | Edmunds.com

leftfield6 09-01-2015 02:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Perfectlap (Post 464172)
^$30 a month increase in electric bill to charge a car?
My electric bill nearly tripled this summer just to run my portable AC unit overnight! And I still had to pay for gas in my car. If I had a way of charging I'd be all over a leaf at those prices.


Yeah, I'm not 100% sure he is giving me an accurate expectation at $30. It was kind of a casual comment so I don't think he had really done due diligence in arriving at that number.

Regardless, even it its triple that, the cost savings over my current daily drivers mpg of 15.4 would be significant.

dghii 09-01-2015 06:11 PM

I'm retired now (as of last summer) but door to door, home to office was 3 miles. I'd have loved to be able to ride my cart to work! We used lots of electric vehicle at our work and they were great forms of transportation.

If you haven't been paying attention, its worth doing some research it what the latest generation of electric vehcles have to offer.

My oldes son works in Orlando and his boss has a Tesla S....not sure how old but at least a year. He received a software upgrade that allows his car to work autonomously...not driving on the highway but it will park itself (at work or at home in the garage).

No fanfare on the release of the upgrade. It just works. My son has been in the car during the parking...he said it was weird but just worked.

I can't imagine!

jaykay 09-01-2015 06:43 PM

Battery capacity is one thing but the time to charge for range is a whole other kettle of fish. Perhaps a whole new industry can be developed around long range charging stations...hotels, cafes, spas.....shopping etc.

I may be totally unaware of the progress of current battery technology...but I think the charge time and weight of Li ion are just never gonna cut it long range. Something like a nano flow cell configuration is much more viable competitor to the ICE. Pump in some electrolyte and away you go.

While electric allows people some relief from pollution in high concentration population centres. I just jope that the efficiency is such that we will not be just just shifting Carbon emissions to a dirty grid. I for one will be truly saddened when the "sports car" I am driving no longer gives me that soulful visceral experience that has everything to do with a great sounding/feeling ICE...

Timco 09-01-2015 07:21 PM

What about battery disposal? Aren't these cars worse than any because of the footprint or whatever the battery disposal does?

Why not solar collectors built into the roof or braking to recharge?

particlewave 09-01-2015 07:37 PM

Batteries can be recycled. ;)
Current lithium batteries are not the best ecologically, but they are not the future.

I know it's hard to envision if not in the field, but we will see batteries that charge faster than you can fill a tank, much longer cycle life, and charging that can happen on the move in an induction charging lane, not only at a station (some of these innovations may be 40-50yrs off, but the tech will surpass ICE much sooner).

Solar panels on the car? Not so much. Photovoltaic paint. ;)

Pdwight 09-01-2015 08:04 PM

liso2 battery
 
Lithium Sulfur is imminent...this we will all see right away

10 years perhaps carbon nano-tube .....but don't hold your breath

thstone 09-01-2015 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by particlewave (Post 464315)
Batteries can be recycled.

Yes and no.

Yes, some parts of a battery can be extracted and recycled (40-60%).

But no, the remaining 40-60% of a battery cannot be recycled and must be disposed.

Companies like Tesla like to say that lithium ion batteries are safe since they don't contain lead, mercury, cadmium, chromium or several other toxic chemicals. What they fail to leave off the list is that li-ion batteries do contain nickel, cobalt, and of course, lithium; none of which you want in your drinking water.

Also, let's not forget that it isn't by luck or chance that Tesla uses a company in California who is the leading expert in handling toxic waste disposal to perform their battery recycling. That alone should tell you just how "safe" battery recycling is.

Pilot2519j 09-12-2015 06:55 PM

We will all be driving golf carts. Thanks you EPA and the present administration of ****************************s that rule DC without support of the people they are supposed to serve.

Finnegan 09-17-2015 01:33 PM

Another reason to love older cars: They don't get hacked.

The definitive account of how hackers can gain access to our cars | The Washington Post

JayG 09-17-2015 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Perfectlap (Post 464172)
^$30 a month increase in electric bill to charge a car?
My electric bill nearly tripled this summer just to run my portable AC unit overnight! And I still had to pay for gas in my car. If I had a way of charging I'd be all over a leaf at those prices.

go solar!

We put solar on the house in Dec 2013 and it cut my electric bill more the 50%

jdlmodelt 09-17-2015 05:10 PM

Ummmm.............I live on a cattle ranch/farm. We haul the cattle to pasture every summer, use multiple tractors to work the fields, 3/4 ton and 1 ton pickups and trailers to haul cattle and sheep from place to place, we contract large semi tractor trailers to haul the live stock, we used multiple tractors all year round to harvest hay and feed hay....no amount of batteries on all that equipment will work....you can't expect all the small farmers and ranchers such as us to be able to buy some new state of the art tractors and trucks to replace the gasoline and diesel that we use now. Unless you are in favor of ousting small business in favor of large corporate or government run farms/ranches. I also live 45 miles from the town that has all the cattle supplies, some materials have to be hauled in a 1 ton pickup or larger, so....for us, it won't work out very soon, certainly not in 10 years.
:matchup:

rexcramer 09-17-2015 05:25 PM

Just the thought of an induction lane capable of charging my car on the fly is making my twigs and berries crawl back inside.

particlewave 09-17-2015 05:38 PM

http://i875.photobucket.com/albums/a...5B8F7869C7.jpg

Education is a personal responsibility.
It's going to happen, no matter how much the ignorant piss and moan about it. :)

rexcramer 09-17-2015 08:02 PM

One of the biggest hurdles north america will need to overcome, before we all go electric car shopping, is the aging electrical systems in both countries. There are +/- 200,000 miles of aging high voltage lines, some of which date back to the 1880's in north america. I believe the Dept. o'Energy estimates the cost to replace and maintain the current USA system at +/- $180 billion. That number does not include any additional lines to support new power requirements.

I am the perfect candidate for an electric car. I have a 2 mile commute for work and I rarely stray more than 50 miles from home. Somebody make an all electric 1972 Datsun 620 truck, with a 150 mile range for under $25K, and I'm in.


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