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Originally Posted by djomlas
actually they are 99.8% right with what they forcast based on the percentages
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Dude, where'd you get that number?
An agency called Forecast Advisor compiles weather forecasts of the major providers in the the U.S. and measures the reliability of the forecasted information. Of course, some areas of the Country are a lot more predictable weather-wise than here, but in my zip, weather forecasts are correct anywhere between 70 and 76% of the time, with the National Weather Service being only 71.45% correct. I don't know about you, but in my profession, if I were wrong 30% of the time, I'd be very, very dead.
A similar study that I read from the U.K. found that their weather forecasts are correct about 57% of the time for the following day, dropping to 25-27% looking four days out. That's abysmal.