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I'd say no more than $10k even with the hardtop normally, but maybe $1k more for the new tires and service.
It is a 17 year old car, not a collectable car.
You do have the AZ factor going for you as you are less affected by the cold weather depressing prices there. It depresses the value of the hardtop though. You might do better selling that separately to someone in an area that just experienced the cold weather.
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