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I noticed a similar pattern on my 2001 2.7 Tip...
If I drive my car out from its usual parking spot to down the driveway to wash (total of about 20ft), it will throw out a huge cloud of smoke the next morning, almost guaranteed (if I don't go for a looong drive after the wash, I usually just drive around the block to dry the brakes and that isn't long enough).
Other than that, it only smokes once in a fairly long while.
The car used to throw out smoke once every 8 to 10 cold starts regardless, but I discovered that it was the brand of oil I was using - voltronic. It was a blast as the power was good, but it clatters on cold starts and the car used to throw out smoke more often.... changed to elf and almost reduced all the clatter, and greatly reduced the frequency of the start up smoke (but not the "morning after the car wash smoke").
I've always assumed that my car is normal after I had post about the smoking issue previously...
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