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If the dripping is on the engine centerline, then yes, you're probably looking at a failed RMS.
The Tip S is somewhat more immune, but not totally, which may explain why your's is showing up at 40K mi rather than the usual <26k mi.
Truth is that any car's crankshaft seal will eventually fail.
The bulk of the discussion here is the early, or premature, failure of the RMS in the M96 engine. Most crankshaft seals on other cars fail at 100+k mi
The RMS in my '99 Tip S Boxster failed and was replaced at 4k mi., but 22k mi. later (26k mi. total), it's bone dry - knock on the proverbial arboral tissue!
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