Duel Row Bearing Consensus ?

[fatmike]

From a purely financial perspective, should you replace the bearing?



Let's say your 2002 S is worth $12K. Odds of bearing blow out (if single row) are 10%. Would the car be worth $3K as a roller? If so, the expected value is:

90% of the time = $12K, 10% of the time $3K = $10,800 + $300 = $11,100.



IF you do replace the bearing, your car will be worth $12,000 100% of the time (or near enough to 100% for our thought exercise). The cost of the bearing is $3500.

So the EV in this case is: $12,000 - $3,500 = $8,500

Unless you believe that you will recover all, or substantially all, of the bearing cost when you sell the car it does not make financial sense. I do not believe that you will get $15,500 when you sell this car because you replace the bearing.

In this scenario, you are MUCH BETTER OFF not replacing your bearing and taking a chance.



/